The space shuttle was supposed to answer all of America's space launch needs, commercial, military, and NASA. Despite many accomplishments, the shuttle failed to lower the cost of space travel and, with two shuttle accidents, increase its safety and reliablity. Real solutions to the problem of cheap and reliable space travel, after a long time in coming, seem to be at hand.
The Prehistory of Winged Rockets
The first important study of winged rockets came from Eugen
Sanger, a specialist in aeronautics and propulsion who received a doctorate at
the Technische Hochschule in Vienna and stayed on to pursue research on
rocket engines. During World War II, Sanger showed how the addition of wings to
a rocket could greatly extend its range. Initially, a winged rocket would fly
to modest range, along an arcing trajectory like that of an artillery shell.
Upon reentering the atmosphere, however, the lift generated by the rocket's
wings would carry it upward, causing it to skip off the atmosphere like a flat
stone skipping over water. Sanger calculated that with a launch speed
considerably less than orbital velocity, such a craft could circle the globe
and return to its launch site.
Reusable rockets with wings were depicted in a series of
articles on the future of space flight in Colliers Magazine in the early 1950s.
The concept was further popularized in the movie Conquest of Space in 1953,
which depicted not only a winged, reusable rocket, but a wheel shaped space
station and an expedition to Mars.
The X 15, which flew in the early 1960s, was an experimental
winged rocket that tested many of the technologies and flying techniques that would
later be used in the space shuttle. The X-15 repeatedly flew a trajectory that
significantly resembled flight to orbit and return. The X-15 ascended into
space under rocket power, flew in weightlessness, and then re-entered the
atmosphere at hypersonic speeds. With its nose high to reduce overheating and
aerodynamic stress, the X-15 used thermal protection to guard the craft against
the heat of reentry. After reentry, the X-15 then maintained a stable attitude
throughout its deceleration, transitioned to guiding flight, and landed at a
preselected location. The shuttle would do all these things, albeit at higher
speeds.
The Air Force started the first serious winged reusable
rocket project, known as Dyna Soar. Dyna Soar would have been lofted a single pilot
on a Titan 3-C rocket for orbital flights. The project, however, was canceled
by then Secretary of Defense Robert McNamara for lack of a clear, military
mission.
The Evolution of the Space Shuttle Design
The vehicle we know as the space shuttle was first proposed
in 1969 as part of a report by the Space Task Group, commissioned by President
Nixon to map out a post Apollo space program. The report proposed a vigorous
technology and exploration program that would have included a large space
station, serviced by a reusable space shuttle, lunar bases, and eventually
expeditions to Mars. The report was greeted very coolly by the White House, the
Congress, the media, and even the public at large. With President Kennedy’s
goal of landing a man on the Moon and returning him safely to the Earth
achieved, the appetite for large scale, expensive space adventures had waned.
More Earth bound concerns such as poverty, health care, and the environment
seemed more important than trips to Mars.
Even so, President Nixon was unwilling to end human space
flight entirely. Aerospace was an important component of the national economy.
People employed in that industry constituted an important voting block. Space
travel was also a source of national pride. The Nixon Administration approved
the space shuttle as NASA’s post Apollo project.
On its face, the rationale for building a reusable space
shuttle seemed obvious. Hitherto, space travel had been conducted on expendable
rockets with vehicles to be used only for one mission. It was as if people
traveled on an air plane that was thrown away after every flight. If one could
build a space vehicle that could be used many times, like an air liner, then
the immense cost of space travel would decrease. Other space goals, such as space
stations and expeditions to Mars, would be brought into the realm of the
fiscally possible.
The X-15 program certainly showed that a winged vehicle with
a rocket engine that could be reused many times as feasible. Other technologies necessary for building and operating a space shuttle, such as reusable thermo protection materials and
computerized checkout techniques, seemed within the grasp of engineers.
NASA proposed a two staged space shuttle, consisting of a
launcher and an orbiter, both winged, rocket powered, and reusable. The vehicle
would launch vertically, like a rocket, then after separating from the orbital
stage, the launcher stage would land horizontally, like an airplane. The
orbiter, upon completing its mission in space, would reenter the Earth’s
atmosphere and also land horizontally. The shuttle would take upwards to sixty
five thousand pounds to low Earth orbit. The cost for developing this system
would be 12.8 billion dollars. NASA presented this proposal to the Nixon White
House, buttressed by a study from the firm Mathematica Inc. that suggested that
the fully reusable, two staged shuttle system would pay for itself at thirty
nine flights per year between 1978 and 1990. NASA suggested that the shuttle
would fly in excess of fifty times a year, which would lower the cost per
flight even more.
The White House Office of Management and Budget was, to say
the least, skeptical of the claim. The OMB doubted that, considering tighter
budgets likely in the future and the changing design of satellites that would
allow fewer of them to be launched, that the number of flights suggested in the
Mathematica study was a realistic number. Also, the projected annual budget for
NASA would not support a 12.8 billion dollar project, even if the almost inevitable
cost overruns failed to materialize.
NASA and her contractor partners went back to the drawing
board. They created a new proposal for a more modest shuttle system. The basic
orbiter was retained, but instead of a launcher stage, two strap on rocket
boosters and a large, external fuel tank were added. The cost of this system
was projected to be 5.5 billion dollars.
This proposal was more acceptable to the Nixon
Administration, which approved it and requested funding from the Congress.
After a heated political battle, funding for the space shuttle program was
approved in 1972. Rockwell International got the contract to build the orbiter.
Morton Thiokol got the strap on rocket contract. Martin Marietta was charged
with building the external fuel tank.
Thus NASA was charged with building a fleet of space
vehicles that would launch every payload the United States needed launching,
NASA, military, and commercial. It would do so at a greatly reduced cost and
with greater safety and reliability. The fleet would comprise the national
space line of the United States.
As it turned out, not even the agency that took men to the
Moon and back in eight years could do all of those things successfully.
Building of the Space Shuttle
One of the decisions space shuttle designers had to make was
about the nature of the strap-on boosters. Should they be liquid fueled or
solid fueled? Liquid fueled boosters would be more reliable, but solids
cheaper. Engineers decided on cheaper and went with solid rocket boosters.
Another decision was over how the shuttle would be protected
from the immense heat of reentry. Engineers decided on thermal protection
tiles, to be glued on to the underside and leading edges of the vehicle.
Both decisions would come back to haunt NASA in the form of
two destroyed orbiters, along with their crews of astronauts.
Rockwell began construction of the first shuttle orbiter in 1974. It was named the Enterprise, after the famous television star ship. It was designed solely as an approach and landing test article. It successfully completed a series of drop tests in 1977 from a modified Boeing 747.
The other orbiters that were ordered and built were the
Columbia, named after the sloop that accomplished the first American
circumnavigation of the globe, the Challenger, named after an American Naval
research vessel that sailed the Atlantic and Pacific oceans during the 1870s,
the Discovery, named after one of two ships used by the British explorer James
Cook in the 1770s during voyages in the South Pacific that led to the discovery
of the Hawaiian Islands, and the Atlantis, named after the primary research
vessel for the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute in Massachusetts from 1930 to
1966.
The Space Shuttle Era Begins
The first test flight of the space shuttle Columbia took place in April, 1981, crewed by veteran astronaut John Young and rookie Robert Crippen. Columbia made five more flights before being joined by space shuttle Challenger in April, 1983. Discovery first flew in August, 1984, followed by Atlantis in October, 1985.
On the surface, the first four and a half years of the space
shuttle era was one of great accomplishment. The shuttle launched a number of
satellites and space probes, including the Long Duration Exposure Facility
(LDEF), as well as a number of military and commercial satellites. Astronauts
performed numerous scientific experiments, especially in the Space Lab Module,
a kind of temporary space science station, carried in the shuttle’s cargo bay.
The first tests of the Manned Maneuvering Unit, which permitted astronauts to
EVA in space without use of a tether, took place. A number of satellites were
captured and returned to Earth using the shuttle’s robotic arm. Some
satellites, such as the Solar Max probe, were serviced in orbit and released.
The shuttle took a number of non-NASA astronauts into space,
including commercial astronaut Charlie Walker. Two American politicians,
Senator Jake Garn and Congressman (now Senator) Bill Nelson were on flights, in
what must be the most unusual political junkets ever gone on.
In 1984, President Reagan announced that the space shuttle
would have the central role in the construction of the first, permanently
manned space station, later called Freedom. Optimism about the utility of the
space shuttle system played a part in the prediction that the space station
could be built for eight billion dollars in eight years, staffing eight people.
That was not to be the case.
The shuttle did not, however, accomplish a decrease in the
cost of space flight. The immense amount of time that it took to service a
shuttle, to turn it around after a flight to get it ready for a new flight,
limited the number of missions the shuttle fleet could perform per year.
Technical glitches tended to further delay shuttle flights. There was no
prospect of the shuttle ever getting anywhere near fifty flights a year. Even
if it could, expendable launchers in other countries, such as the European
Ariane, had started to eat into the commercial launch market, taking away potential
payloads from the shuttle.
The Challenger Disaster
The pressure to increase the shuttle’s flight rate tended to
make shuttle managers to ignore or paper over technical problems with the space
shuttle system. For instance, NASA and contractor engineers knew about the out
gassing problem with the solid rocket boosters for months before the Challenger
disaster. A seal on the SRB tended to become brittle in cold weather, causing
super heated gasses to escape.
Nevertheless, on a cold, January day in 1986, the Challenger
lifted off and 73 seconds into the flight was destroyed with her crew when the
super heated gasses from the SRB ignited the hydrogen filled external tank. The
destruction of the Challenger and her crew was especially traumatic due to the presence
of teacher in space Christa McAuliffe.
McAuliffe was to be a first in a whole series of citizens in space. There would
have been a journalist in space, an artist in space, and so on.
The Challenger Disaster caused a great deal of introspection
at NASA. The space agency spent two and a half years recovering, redesigning
the SRBs and taking other measures to improve the safety and reliability of the
space shuttle fleet.
There were other effects of the disaster. The citizen in
space program was tacitly cancelled, though Christa McAuliffe’s backup, Barbara
Morgan, was eventually made an official NASA astronaut, though she has yet to
get a flight assignment. President Reagan signed a directive removing military
and commercial payloads from the shuttle manifest, an admission that the
shuttle would never be the sole answer to access to space. A new space shuttle
orbiter, the Endeavour, named after another of Captain Cook’s ships, was built
and entered service in May, 1992.
The Post Challenger Era
The next shuttle mission after Challenger was the flight of
Discover, in September 1988. There followed a series of feats in space to rival
those the shuttle fleet accomplished before the Challenger Disaster. One of the
first things Endeavour did was to facilitate the capture of a communication
satellite in the first three person space walk. The Hubble Space Telescope was
deployed and then serviced in subsequent missions. More Spacelab and Spacehab
science missions were executed. Numerous satellites and space probes were
deployed, including the Ulysses probe to study the sun, the Galileo Jupiter
orbiter, and the Magellan Venus probe. The shuttle fleet supported the joint
America/Russian missions to the Russian space station Mir. Shuttles helped to
begin construction of the International Space Station.
The Search for New Solutions
Even so, with the realization that the space shuttle fleet
would not be the answer to the problem of cheap access to space, other
solutions were being sought. Both the Advance Launch System (ALS) and the
National Launch System (NLS) were projects attempting to find a way to replace
expendable rockets with 1950s technology. Both were cancelled when the development costs
ballooned and when the prospect of deploying space based weapons under the SDI
program faded with the end of the Cold War.
The Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) program,
started in the early 1990s, was more successful in that it actually led to the
development of actual launch vehicles. These were the Boeing Delta IV and the
Lockheed Martin Atlas V. These two families of launch vehicles are designed to
address both military and commercial markets.
The search for a new way to launch people into space
continued apace. Even before the Challenger Disaster, NASA and the Department
of Defense began a joint project to build the National Aerospace Plane (NASP).
This project would have developed a family of hypersonic vehicles that would
provide high speed global air transportation, a long range air defense
interceptor, and a low cost, single stage to orbit space craft. Once again the
old story of cost overruns eventually doomed the project. Nevertheless, NASA
continued to research hypersonic flight technologies.
The DC-X was a subscale prototype vehicle developed under
the Strategic Defense Initiative for a proposed single stage to orbit vehicle
to be called the Delta Clipper. The DC-X was a rocket that both launched and
landed vertically. The DC-X flew in a
series of successful flight tests in August and September of 1993, with a
second series from June 1994-July 1995. An enhance version of the DC-X, known
as the DC-XA, was flight tested under the auspices of NASA from May 1996 to
July 1996, when the vehicle was destroyed when it tipped over upon landing.
The X-33 was a program started during the Clinton
Administration to develop a single stage to orbit vehicle to replace the space
shuttle. Though Boeing proposed a prototype based on the vertical take off and
landing concept pioneered by the DC-X/DC-XA program, NASA instead choose a
vertical takeoff, horizontal landing prototype proposed by Lockheed Martin.
This prototype, had it been successful, would have led to a full scale single
stage to orbit vehicle known as Venture Star. However, the attempt to develop
too much leading edge technology too soon led to cost overruns, schedule
slippages, and eventual cancellation.
A kind of companion program to the X-33, the X-34, was
designed to develop a low cost, air-launched vehicle, much like the successful
Pegasus launcher. X-34 suffered much the same fate as the X-33.
Private Solutions
While various government funded programs to replace the
shuttle or to otherwise find a way to cheaply access space, private,
entrepreneurial companies were attacking the problem. One of the first such
attempts was the Otrag project, conducted in the mid 1970s by a German company
and funded by Libya.
The Otrag launch vehicle conducted a series of flight tests from Zaire
and then Libya.
The project was eventually ended under pressure from the American, German, and
Soviet governments as it was seen as a means to build a military ballistic
missile.
A company called Space Services Inc., based in Houston,
Texas, was the next to try its hand at a
privately developed, privately operated launch system. Their first attempt was
a rocket called the Percheron, developed by long time space entrepreneur Gary
Hudson. The Percheron failed in a flight test in August, 1981. Space Services
was more successful in flight testing another vehicle, the Conestoga, made from
old Minuteman rocket parts. This rocket was successfully flight tested in
September, 1982. Unfortunately, Space Services venture to become the first
private space launch firm failed due to lack of investors and customers.
Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, a series of entrepreneurs
tried and failed to develop cheap launch systems privately. For a time it
looked like that satellite cellular systems, which would have required the
launch of constellations of hundreds of small satellites, might be the market
that would get a private space launch industry started. Some of the more
prominent companies were Pioneer Rocket Plane, Kistler Aerospace, Rotary
Rockets, and Beal Aerospace. Rotary developed a prototype of their Rotan space
craft, which lifted off like a rocket and landed like a helicopter, and flight
tested it. Beal Aerospace static tested several rocket engines that would have
powered their planned BA-2 launcher. These ventures tended to fail due to the
collapse of the satellite cellular market, the lack of investors, and, in some
cases, insurmountable technical challenges.
The X Prize
As an effort to jump start private space flight, a group of
space enthusiasts established the ten million dollar X Prize in the mid 1990s.
The prize would go to the first group who, with private funding, would fly a
piloted space craft capable of flying three people in a sub orbital flight of a
hundred kilometers and then do it again with the same space craft within two
week. Over two dozen teams eventually participated in the race for the X-Prize.
The X-Prize was won in October, 2004 by a team led by Burt Rutan of Scaled
Composites Inc. with a vehicle called SpaceShipOne.
The X Prize seems to have succeeded in its goal of
encouraging private space flights beyond the wildest dreams of its founders.
SpaceShipOne had barely finished its final flight when aviation tycoon Richard
Branson announced the start of a space tourism venture, known as Virgin
Galactic, which will take paying passengers on sub orbital rides into space in
a vehicle to be designed and built by Burt Rutan. Indeed, space tourism may be
the market that finally jump starts a private launch industry as other
companies, including one started by Amazon.Com founder Jeff Bezos, are pursuing
such ventures. And with the success of SpaceShipOne, investment capital seems
to be more forthcoming.
Hotel magnate and space entrepreneur Robert Bigelow has
already established a fifty million dollar Orbital Prize, to be given to the
first private group to build and fly a space craft capable of going to low
Earth orbit. Congress has passed
legislation to encourage the growth of a space tourism industry.
Columbia and the Beginning of the End of the Shuttle
In February 2003, the space shuttle Columbia
launched for her last mission. Unknown to anyone at the time, a piece of frozen
insulation foam fell off of the external tank during launch and hit the leading
edge of the left wing of the shuttle, stripping away some of its thermal tile
protection. So, when the Columbia
reentered the Earth’s atmosphere, the left wing, then the shuttle itself broke
apart, killing her crew.
The second shuttle disaster caused as much NASA
introspection about safety as had the first. As with Challenger, it looks like Columbia
will result in a two and a half year recovery period.
The Future
More important, the Columbia Disaster has caused a complete
rethinking of what the purpose of America’s
civil space program should be. If people fly in space, some will eventually die
as did the crews of Challenger and Columbia.
So, should they not die for grander goals than just going around in circles in
low Earth orbit?
With that question in mind, President George W. Bush
announced a total reorientation of the American civil space program in January,
2004. The space shuttle would complete the construction of the International
Space Station and then would be retired in 2010. NASA would be charged with
sending the first explorers beyond low Earth orbit for the first time in
decades, back to the Moon, then on to Mars and beyond.
To accomplish this mission, NASA will build a new vehicle,
the Crewed Exploration Vehicle. Various versions of it would service the
International Space Station during the rest of its functional life, take
astronauts back to the Moon, and then to Mars and beyond.
The shape of future space travel remains, of course,
uncertain. But it seems likely that the private sector, starting with taking
paying tourists into space, will finally fulfill the lost promise that the
space shuttle failed to fulfill decades ago, by lowering the cost of space
travel and increasing its safety and reliability. It is worth noting that Burt
Rutan spent twenty million dollars doing pretty much what the X-15 project
spent a billion and a half in current dollars doing.
How this nascent space launch industry will mesh with NASA
exploration plans is uncertain. NASA seems more open to entrepreneurial space
companies than it has ever been in its lifetime. Will these new private space
vehicles be used to service and resupply the International Space Station as
well as future NASA moon and interplanetary ships? Only the future will tell.